taylorswest replied to your video post: “Did anyone watch Game On Dude lose last night? He had to face two…”:
Imperative ran a huge race that night.

Yeah. He will run more huge races. I’m not sure why Imperative didn’t fire in the Santa Anita Handicap, but his San Antonio effort was also a good one. He’s no 40k claimer on dirt.

Did anyone watch Game On Dude lose last night? He had to face two separate challenges from Moreno and Long River, and once he put them both away, Imperative passed all of them.

Imperative is a graded stakes quality horse on dirt. His turf races mean zero, if we’re talking dirt racing.

Mr. Speaker wins Lexington Stakes with inside-outside trip

Most perfect trip for a stalker.

image

Supermonic’s chances ended on the first turn when he got caught at least five wide trying not to interfere with the pack.

image

It looked clear Mr. Speaker had a lot of run at this point above.

image

image

Nice win.

Keeneland 4/18 picks

I posted them on Pace Advantage again.

Keeneland 4/18 - best picks ever

To be honest, I’ve only gone through one race at the time of this post. But, keep checking the link for more.

Blog turns three years old

I may not have the most followers, but 2013 was the best jump.

And as idle as I seem now, this blog has been partially responsible for taking me a lot of places, including the Breeders’ Cup, Churchill Downs, an interview at HRTV, the Director’s Room at Hollywood Park and maybe more places in the future.

One of the people from Summer Wind follows my Facebook now! That’s thanks to knowing Sarah, one of the oldest followers of this blog even though I have interacted more with her only recently.

So, this blog isn’t perfect. I try to combine some entertainment with real handicapping advice, and for the most part I think it works.

webuiltthepyramids replied to your photo: “The TimeformUS figure maker believes Social Inclusion ran the best…”:
Maybe he’ll fuck up everything in his path like Purple Egg didn’t.

Social Inclusion sure fucked up Samraat and Schivarelli’s chances in the Wood Memorial. Perhaps he will ruin their chances again (or just Samraat since I’m not sure where Schivarelli is headed). I don’t think we’ll see until the Preakness though.

As for Purple Egg, I couldn’t stand Purple Egg hype. I’m glad that’s over.

Wicked Strong had the inside-outside trip

I only noticed it now, because every time I watch the Wood Memorial, I study Social Inclusion.

Here is Wicked Strong, circled in black.

image

image

image

image

When a horse with some quality stalks the race from the inside, then switches to the outside turning for home, he had the most perfect trip possible for a stalker.

It’s the same exact trip Tapiture received in the Rebel Stakes.

I’d estimate any disadvantage Tapiture had from the bump with Hoppertunity was canceled out by the fact he received the powerful inside-outside trip. 

Andy Serling sometimes writes this on his Twitter: “The inside is for saving ground, while the outside is for gaining momentum.”

In Wicked Strong’s case, even though he had absolutely the most perfect trip, the Wood Memorial went so fast I don’t think I could ignore him in the Derby. My only concern is whether he can translate that form to other states besides New York.

The TimeformUS figure maker believes Social Inclusion ran the best race in the toughest prep race.
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=22
Even if he gets in the Kentucky Derby and fails miserably, this horse is going to contend in almost every top level graded stakes race he enters. With three A+ races in a row, Social Inclusion is too talented not to become a star.

The TimeformUS figure maker believes Social Inclusion ran the best race in the toughest prep race.

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=22

Even if he gets in the Kentucky Derby and fails miserably, this horse is going to contend in almost every top level graded stakes race he enters. With three A+ races in a row, Social Inclusion is too talented not to become a star.

Keeneland 4/17 picks

I’m posting them on Pace Advantage.

Keeneland 4/17 - best picks ever

Zero chance to win the Kentucky Derby

Tapiture headlines this blog again … for the wrong reason!

image

These horses look very doubtful to win the Derby:

Vicar’s In Trouble
Dance With Fate
We Miss Artie
Tapiture
Ring Weekend (I need to study Calder Derby)
General a Rod
Uncle Sigh

Of course, a lot of horses can hit the board.

I don’t buy into the idea that there have been any fluke winners of the Derby recently though. Even Mine That Bird and Giacomo proved themselves as top level horses in races after the Derby.

Just last year, Orb placed in the Belmont Stakes and Travers, showing he belonged as a Derby winner, even if a bit overrated, while Golden Soul has trouble in optional claiming races.

So, the race has a way of working itself out to give a decent horse as the winner.

Home of Tumblr's 3rd or 4th best handicapper!
Thoughts on Racing, Life and More

Promote Your Page Too
Buy analysis / donate!